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Home New England Western Canadian Podcasts Powder Forecasts Skigoggs

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1
ROGER HILL

I'm probably best known as the weather forecaster for The Radio Vermont Group. I have a consulting business called Weathering Heights Consulting. I started in weather in the 1974 with US Army and continued with numerous stints with NOAA, NWS from California to Kansas City to Cape Hatteras to New York and Vermont. In Vermont, I have done weather consulting for such clients as the Grateful Dead, Woodstock II, Lollapolusa, Vermont Symphony, Mozart Festival, Stowe Performing Arts and a bunch of others. Other clients include various snow removal contracts from the state of Vermont, City of Montpelier and other towns, as well as my local innovative utility Washington Electric Cooperative. Mountain forecasting is tricky and as you would expect more intense as weather in Vermont and New England is very "in your face." I enjoy Earth Sciences and the inter-relationships of our most prescious resource - Nature. I prefer the use of technology in ways to help us as a species go with the flow instead of rebelling against it, and reject those who support "old ways of thinking".

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1
JIM ROEMER
"try our subscription package you will love it"..

Jim Roemer was given the nickname Dr. Weather from Stowe Mountain in 2001, due to his uncanny accuracy in forecast snowfall patterns, sometimes weeks in advance. The name has stuck every since. Jim has become a household meteorologist in the ski industry with thousands of skiers depending on his forecast to make both short term and longer term plans as to which slopes to hit. While many weather services have automated reports, in an age where life has become so impersonal, at times, Jim's reports add a unique freshness of honesty, exhuburance, personality and humor without sacrificing accuracy. "Second guessing computer models is what I do best", Jim says. Jim Roemer helped develop Freese-Notis's commodity weather forecast division back in the 1980's and early 1990's and was a frequent guest on CNBC-TV and Bloomberg. Today Jim has done considerable research and lecturing on global warming, plays competitive tennis and is a crazed skier.

TODAY'S SKIGOGG OF THE DAY

Friday's NWS Western Weather Advisories

SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL CONTINUES IN PARTS OF THE ROCKIES, WHILE THE WEATHER IS FAIRLY QUIET IN OTHER PARTS OF THE NATION WITH MAJOR SKI RESORTS.

WYOMING

==============

SNOWY RANGE-LARAMIE VALLEY-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTENNIAL...ALBANY...WOODS LANDING...

LARAMIE

458 AM MST FRI FEB 3 2012


...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS

AFTERNOON...


A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS

AFTERNOON.


* TIMING...THROUGH 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON.


* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE LARAMIE

VALLEY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE SNOWY RANGE.


* WINDS/VISIBILITIES...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH

TONIGHT TODAY. LOCALIZED BLOWING SNOW IS POSSIBLE.


* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL PRIMARILY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES TODAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW

WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW

COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHEN

APPROACHING AND DRIVING OVER RAILROAD CROSSINGS.



----------
 
 
WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS EAST-
502 AM MST FRI FEB 3 2012
 
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS
MORNING...
 
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS
MORNING.
 
* SUMMARY AND TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EAST SLOPES
  OF THE WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING.
 
* SNOWFALL SO FAR...10 TO 14 INCHES.
 
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED.
 
* WIND AND VISIBILITY...VISIBILITY WILL BE BELOW A QUARTER MILE IN
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AROUND SOUTH PASS. AREAS OF NORTHEAST WIND
  AT 20 TO 35 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTH PASS.
 
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON HIGHWAYS 28 WILL BE DIFFICULT DUE TO SLICK
  AND SNOWPACKED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY WHEN THE ROAD REOPENS.
  TRAVELERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SLOWER TRAFFIC AND ADDED TRAVEL
  TIME.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.



COLORADO

============

 
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/
GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE
9000 FEET-LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR
CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS...
BERTHOUD PASS...****BRECKENRIDGE****...EAST SLOPES MOSQUITO RANGE...
EAST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...EISENHOWER TUNNEL...
INDIAN PEAKS...KENOSHA MOUNTAINS...MOUNT EVANS...
WILLIAMS FORK MOUNTAINS...WINTER PARK...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...
NEDERLAND...RED FEATHER LAKES...BAILEY...CENTRAL CITY...
EVERGREEN...GEORGETOWN...IDAHO SPRINGS...WESTCREEK
549 AM MST FRI FEB 3 2012
 
...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SATURDAY...
 
* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH THE SNOW
  HEAVY AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL DECREASE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
 
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 16 TO 24 INCHES CAN
  BE EXPECTED.
 
* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH. VISIBILITIES WILL
  BE POOR AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL AND BLOWING
  SNOW.
 
* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT
  LATER TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 
TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
AS ROADS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP EXTRA FOOD...WATER...A FLASHLIGHT...AND DRY CLOTHING IN YOUR
VEHICLE. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE AND WAIT
FOR HELP TO ARRIVE.


----------

 
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
INCLUDING...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...
WESTON...COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...
TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...CANON CITY...
PENROSE...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD
517 AM MST FRI FEB 3 2012
 
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MST THIS
MORNING...
 
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MST THIS
MORNING.
 
* LOCATION...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 11000 FEET...
  THE WET MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FEET...THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND
  FREMONT...SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY...PUEBLO AND OTERO COUNTY.
 
* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
  BRINGING SNOW TO THE AREA TODAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS
  EXPECTED THROUGH MIDMORNING.
 
* SNOW ACCUMULATION...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 4 INCHES.
 
* IMPACT...ICY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 
IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.
 



NEW MEXICO

============

WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
1034 PM MST THU FEB 2 2012
 
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST
FRIDAY...
 
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM
MST FRIDAY.
 
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES BELOW 7500 FEET AND 3 TO 5
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES
  ARE POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGES OF THE SANGRE DE
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS AND THE RATON RIDGE.
 
* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON
  FRIDAY BEFORE DECREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATE FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON.
 
* WINDS...NO WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. NORTH
  WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP FROM
  RATON PASS EASTWARD FRIDAY MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON.
 
* SNOW LEVELS...TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW AT ALL
  LOCATIONS.
 
* LOCAL IMPACTS...SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES ACROSS
  PORTIONS OF THE AREA...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 64 BETWEEN CAPULIN
  AND RATON...AND FROM EAGLE NEST TO ANGEL FIRE AND THE EAST
  SIDE OF TAOS...INTERSTATE 25 OVER RATON PASS...HIGHWAY 38
  BETWEEN EAGLE NEST...RED RIVER...AND QUESTA...AND HIGHWAY 518
  BETWEEN MORA AND VADITO.

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ROEMER———-A LOOK AT THIS WINTER’S SNOWFALL FOR SKI AREAS SO FAR AND WHY IT HAS BEEN A SUB-PAR

SEASON FOR MOST U.S. SKI AREAS

The biggest snowstorm of the season is coming for parts of the Catskills, Adirondacks, Vermont

with at least 1 foot and in some places possibly 2 feet or more at places like Jay Peak and

maybe Stowe, etc. into Quebec. Some models are further east with the storm, which if

it happens would favor New Hampshire and Maine as well, but the best chance should be

over places like Whiteface Mountain throughout much of N/C Vermont and S. Quebec.

But, until now, see my study below as to why the winter so far, has not been very good

in most areas.

THE AO AND NAO INDEX

Incredibly, all 50 states had some snow on the ground as of about 10 days ago, but that does not mean that

U.S. skiing has been consistently good. In fact, the opposite and an anomaly.

A LOOK AT STORM TRACKS THE LAST 90 DAYS..

WINTER TO DATE SNOWFALL (AS OF FEBRUARY 15TH)

The best consistent snow of winter has been over the SW U.S., consistent with El Nino as well

as western Canada, of course-I.E. Whistler’s historic early start.  Also, not shown here, it has

been one of the best ski season in many years for Virginia and the Carolinas, even better than all

of Vermont, the Adirondacks, Maine and New Hampshire. The lowest snowfall has

been over the N. Rockies, Utah, parts of Colorado and of course New England.

MAPS BELOW SUPPLIED BY TONY CROCKER OF WWW.BESTSNOW.NET

2411 Grand Avenue, Des Moines, Iowa, 50312, U.S.A